Chevron Corp CVX

Morningstar Rating
Add To Portfolio
|%
Chart Data Not Available

Morningstar's Analysis

Valuation Apr 15, 2025
Currency in USD
Is it the right time to buy or sell?
Fair ValueLearn Moreplay
1-Star Price
Premium
Economic Moat
Premium
5-Star Price
Premium
Capital Allocation
Premium
Chevron Earnings: Earnings Exceed Expectations
Author Photo
Allen Good, CFA
Director
Analyst Note | by Allen Good, CFA Updated May 02, 2025

Chevron's first-quarter adjusted earnings fell on lower price realizations and weaker refining margins but slightly exceeded market expectations. It kept repurchase guidance of $10 billion-$20 billion per year but cut second-quarter amount to $2.5 billion-$3 billion from first-quarter $3.9 billion.

Business Strategy and Outlook | by Allen Good, CFA Updated Apr 15, 2025

Chevron is set to deliver higher returns and greater free cash flow thanks to its oil-leveraged portfolio's volume growth and margin expansion, cost reductions, and improved operations.

The next phase of growth will deliver a production compound annual growth rate of 6% through 2026. The Tengiz expansion and Gulf of America projects will drive th

Morningstar Fair Value Estimate
The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate guides investors to the long-term, intrinsic value of a stock, helping them see beyond the present market price.

Show me how fair value is derived (00:41)

Morningstar calculates the fair value estimate of a company based on a projection of how much cash the company will generate in the future. Morningstar analysts create custom industry and company assumptions to feed income statement, balance sheet, and capital investment assumptions into a proprietary discounted cash flow modeling template. Scenario analysis, in-depth competitive advantage analysis, and a variety of other analytical tools are used to augment the discounted cash flow process. The analyst discounts future cash flows using the weighted average of the costs of equity, debt, and preferred stock (and any other funding sources), using expected future proportionate long-term, market-value weights.

The Morningstar Fair Value Estimate is a projection/opinion and not a statement of fact. If Morningstar's base-case assumptions are true the market price will converge on Morningstar's fair value estimate over time, generally within three years. Investments in securities are subject to market and other risks. Past performance of a security may or may not be sustained in the future and is no indication of future performance.

Morningstar Equity Research Methodology

Price vs. Fair Value

Related

Morningstar Research
© Copyright 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use        Privacy Policy       Disclosures        Accessibility