Our favourite Canadian stocks at February 2016 month-end

A recap of stocks Morningstar analysts recommend.

Morningstar 9 March, 2016 | 6:00PM
Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

The Canadian Core Buy list substantially underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 Index during the month of February, posting a total return that came in at -5.6% compared to the benchmark's gain of 0.2%. While no constituents of the Core Buy list earned a positive total return during the month of February, the two primary sources of the poor result were Valeant Pharmaceuticals International (VRX) and National Bank of Canada (NA) with total returns of -26.8% and -7.8%, respectively.

Nonetheless, the Core Buy list retains its cumulative outperformance against the benchmark with a total return since inception of 131.3% versus 82.4% for the S&P/TSX 60 Index, a difference of 48.9 percentage points.

Our model recommended several changes to March's Core Pick list. Suncor Energy (SU) was moved off of the Core Buy list to the Core Hold list, and was replaced by the new addition of Tourmaline Oil (TOU). BCE (BCE) and Rogers Communications (RCI.B) were dropped to the Core Sell list from the Core Hold list, and Fortis (FTS) was raised from the Core Sell list to the Core Hold list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 28.9% discount to our fair value estimate of $77.

 Cameco Corp. (CCO) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 34.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $25.

 Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 32.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $133.

 Enbridge Inc. (ENB) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at an 11.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $54.

 National Bank of Canada (NA) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 42.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $64.

 Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 13.7% discount to our fair value estimate of $55.

 Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TOU) was newly added to the list this month. The stock trades at a 14% discount to our fair value estimate of $29.

 Valeant Pharmaceuticals International Inc. (VRX) remains on the list from last month. The stock trades at a 57.1% discount to our fair value estimate of $220.


The Canadian Income Buy list underperformed the S&P/TSX 60 Index during the month of February, posting a total return of -0.6% compared to the benchmark's gain of 0.2%. The weaker performance of the Buy list was primarily driven by a weak result from National Bank of Canada (NA), which posted a total return of -7.8% for the month of February. The best performance came from Pembina Pipeline (PPL) with a total return of 6.4%.

The Income Buy list has generated a cumulative return since inception of 140.2%, while the S&P/TSX 60 Index returned 82.3% over the same period, a difference of 57.9 percentage points.

Our model recommended several additional changes to our Income Pick list for the month of March. Suncor Energy (SU) was dropped from the Income Buy list to the Income Hold list, trading rankings with Peyto Exploration & Development (PEY). BCE (BCE) was downgraded to the Income Hold list to the Income Sell list, and Fortis (FTS) was promoted back to the Income Hold list from the Income Sell list.

A recap of stocks on this month's Consider Buy List

 AGF Management Ltd. (AGF.B) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.7% and trades at a 20% discount to our fair value estimate of $6.

 Enbridge Inc. (ENB) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.4% and trades at an 11.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $54.

 IGM Financial Inc. (IGM) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 6.3% and trades at a 14.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $42.

 National Bank of Canada (NA) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.9% and trades at a 42.4% discount to our fair value estimate of $64.

 Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PPL) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.4% and trades at a 0.8% discount to our fair value estimate of $34.

 Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (PEY) was added to the list this month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.7% and trades at a 0.6% discount to our fair value estimate of $28.

 Shaw Communications Inc. Class B (SJR.B) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 5.1% and trades at a 6.3% discount to our fair value estimate of $25.

 TELUS Corp. (T) remains on the list from last month. The stock offers a dividend yield of 4.5% and trades at a 1.5% discount to our fair value estimate of $40.

Facebook Twitter LinkedIn

Securities Mentioned in Article

Security NamePriceChange (%)Morningstar Rating
AGF Management Ltd Shs -B- Non-Voting11.57 CAD-1.36Rating
Bank of Nova Scotia73.54 CAD1.87Rating
Bausch Health Companies Inc6.36 CAD0.95
BCE Inc29.71 CAD1.50Rating
Cameco Corp81.68 CAD-2.28
Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce93.71 CAD-0.30Rating
Enbridge Inc63.32 CAD0.40Rating
Fortis Inc66.57 CAD0.50Rating
IGM Financial Inc44.71 CAD-0.22Rating
National Bank of Canada133.57 CAD-0.54Rating
Pembina Pipeline Corp51.48 CAD-0.44Rating
Peyto Exploration & Development Corp18.75 CAD-0.69
Restaurant Brands International Inc97.62 CAD-1.70Rating
Rogers Communications Inc Shs -B- Non-Voting36.69 CAD0.88Rating
Suncor Energy Inc49.38 CAD1.02
TELUS Corp22.37 CAD0.77Rating
Tourmaline Oil Corp63.32 CAD-0.42

About Author

Morningstar

Morningstar  Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 17 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets.

© Copyright 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Terms of Use        Privacy Policy       Disclosures        Accessibility