Boralex: Investor Day Targets Doubling Installed Capacity by 2030

We believe Boralex stock is undervalued.

Brett Castelli 18 June, 2025 | 8:32PM
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Editor's Note: This analysis was originally published as a stock note by Morningstar Equity Research.

Key Morningstar Metrics for Boralex


Boralex BLX unveiled 2030 business and financial targets at its June 17 investor day. The firm plans to double installed capacity to approximately 7 gigawatts and increase EBITDA and discretionary cash flow per share at an 8%-10% compound annual growth rate.

Why it matters: We view the 8%-10% CAGR for key financial metrics as achievable and broadly in line with our expectations.

  • We think the financing plan is reasonable, as it expects the majority of required equity investment from excess cash flow (C$1.3 billion) and capital recycling (C$900 million). Equity issuance is expected to be a modest C$500 million.
  • The growth plan unveiled relies primarily on organic growth across Boralex’s four key markets: Canada, France, the United States, and the United Kingdom.

The bottom line: We are maintaining our C$36 per share fair value estimate after making only minor adjustments to our financial model.

  • We consider the shares to be slightly undervalued, trading approximately 8% below our fair value estimate.


The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar's editorial policies.

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Brett Castelli  is an equity analyst, energy and utilities, for Morningstar.

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